Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 105.512775 121.509039 140.419653 164.793302 195.938373 2.352265e+02 289.951557
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 82.956029 101.908652 126.706380 162.764467 216.212265 2.970288e+02 439.362951
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 70.449828 89.904137 116.974292 159.518573 229.419140 3.507505e+02 612.643906
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 62.752253 82.446872 111.199713 159.340270 245.759502 4.162648e+02 871.773040
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 57.185482 76.929950 106.920995 159.924587 262.936790 4.928712e+02 1268.852627
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 51.476252 70.347078 99.786903 153.800921 264.951293 5.376346e+02 1664.953922
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 49.023456 68.376453 99.646273 159.986757 294.509315 6.746991e+02 2919.888464
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 45.126033 63.663415 94.215571 154.919011 296.918233 7.363638e+02 4150.223254
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 42.764560 61.171021 92.250613 156.286795 315.614488 8.735994e+02 7738.823391
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 40.146092 57.996611 88.669086 153.578637 322.818678 9.778287e+02 14067.100440
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 39.807701 58.594451 91.972464 166.398319 379.849074 1.412143e+03 163017.962080
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 40.161368 60.395790 97.768831 186.504093 473.925601 2.412658e+03 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 37.825963 57.483309 94.494890 185.225404 498.936911 3.104742e+03 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 35.565182 54.553394 90.925262 182.721226 520.299106 4.021048e+03 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 33.462536 51.718184 87.182258 178.878062 534.407073 5.107187e+03 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 31.883331 49.715430 84.934789 178.667027 566.633062 7.353911e+03 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 30.532475 48.024540 83.142285 179.358605 605.727198 1.161405e+04 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 28.750057 45.377257 78.977297 172.121152 596.725543 1.384652e+04 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.110668 44.880149 79.516082 179.432200 682.646476 3.861177e+04 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 26.677531 42.730141 76.091555 173.440896 678.546301 5.575158e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 25.823428 41.664397 75.050248 175.056408 731.550283 2.258550e+05 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 24.757327 40.107613 72.715339 171.858869 746.714633 1.114115e+06 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 24.753598 40.677981 75.458283 187.034419 943.426546 NaN NaN